Kevin (kevin.mcmurphy@gmail.com)

Race #153

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Official speed 84.64 wpm (47.50 seconds elapsed during race)
Race Start January 28, 2009 1:47:44pm UTC
Race Finish January 28, 2009 1:48:31pm UTC
Outcome Win (1 of 3)
Points 0.00
Text #118 (Length: 335 characters)

The pathology of setting a deadline to the earliest articulable date essentially guarantees that the schedule will be missed. Even the strategy of picking the "most likely date" is not particularly safe, as the area to the left of the peak of the curve is barely a third. That says there is a two-thirds chance of missing the deadline.