Text #1060118

在设定的最后期限的日期最早的病理基本上保证了时间表将被错过。即使是挑选“最有可能的日期”的策略是不是特别安全,因为对曲线峰值左面积仅三分之一。这表示,有三分之二的机会错过了最后期限。

—from Waltzing with Bears: Managing Risk on Software Projects (华尔兹与熊:软件项目管理风险), a book by Tom DeMarco, Timothy Lister

Active since October 6, 2010.
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Simplified Chinese 27 62.29 October 6, 2010